How Donald Trump Achieved a Gaza Breakthrough That Escaped Joe Biden
Initially, the Israeli air strike on the Hamas negotiating team in Qatar appeared like another escalation that pushed the prospect of peace further away.
The attack on 9 September violated the territorial integrity of an US partner and risked widening the conflict into a region-wide war.
Negotiations appeared to be in ruins.
However, it turned out to be a pivotal event that culminated in a deal, declared by Donald Trump, to release all remaining hostages.
This is a goal that he, and Joe Biden previously, had sought for almost 24 months.
It is just the initial phase towards a lasting resolution, and the specifics of Hamas disarmament, administering Gaza and full Israeli withdrawal remain to be worked out.
Yet if this deal stands, it could be Trump's signature achievement of his return to office - one that escaped Biden and his diplomatic team.
The president's unique style and crucial relationships with the Israeli government and the Middle Eastern nations seem to have contributed in this success.
However, as with many foreign policy wins, there were also factors involved beyond the control of either man.
A Close Relationship That Eluded Biden
In public, Donald Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu are all smiles.
The president often states that the nation has no better friend, and Netanyahu has called Trump as Israel's "most supportive friend in the US presidency". And these positive statements have been matched by actions.
Throughout his first presidential term, the president relocated the US embassy in the country from its former location to Jerusalem and abandoned a traditional American stance that Jewish communities in the occupied territories are against international law, the position under international law.
When the Israeli military began its bombing campaign against the Islamic Republic in June, Trump ordered American aircraft to strike the nation's nuclear enrichment facilities with its largest non-nuclear weapons.
Those visible shows of support may have given Trump the room to exert more influence on the Israeli government in private. According to reports, Trump's envoy, Steve Witkoff, browbeat the prime minister in late 2024 into agreeing to a temporary ceasefire in exchange for the release of a number of captives.
When Israel launched strikes against Syria's military in July, even hitting a Christian church, the US president pressured Netanyahu to change course.
Trump displayed a degree of will and insistence on an Israel's leader that is virtually unprecedented, according to an analyst of the a think tank. "There is no example of an American president literally telling an Israeli leader that you're going to have to comply or else."
Joe Biden's connection with the Israeli administration was always more tenuous.
His administration's "close embrace approach" argued that the United States had to embrace the nation publicly in order to enable it to moderate the country's military actions in private.
Beneath this was Biden's decades-long of backing for Israel, as well as sharp divisions within his political base over the conflict in Gaza. Every step the leader took endangered dividing his own domestic support, whereas his successor's loyal conservative voters gave him more room to act.
Ultimately, domestic politics or individual ties may have had little impact than the simple fact that, throughout his term, the Israeli government was not ready to reach an agreement.
Several months into Trump's second term, with the Islamic Republic chastened, the militant group to its northern border significantly reduced and Gaza in ruins, every one of its key military goals had been accomplished.
Commercial Background Helped Gain Support from Arab States
The Israeli missile attack in Doha, which resulted in the death of a local national but not the intended targets, led Trump to issue an final demand to the prime minister. The war had to stop.
The US leader had allowed Israel a relatively free hand in the territory. He lent American military might to Israeli operations in Iran. But an attack on Qatari territory was a separate issue entirely, moving him closer to the Arab position on how best to conclude the conflict.
A number of Trump officials have informed media outlets that this was a decisive moment which galvanised the president to exert maximum pressure to get a peace deal done.
The leader's strong connections with the Gulf states are widely known. Trump has business dealings with Qatar and the United Arab Emirates. The president began both his presidential terms with official trips to Saudi Arabia. Recently, Trump also visited in Doha and the UAE capital.
His normalization agreements, which established ties between Israel and a number of Arab nations, including the UAE, was the biggest diplomatic achievement of his first term.
His visits devoted in the capitals of the Arabian Peninsula in recent months contributed to change his thinking, says an expert of the Council on Foreign Relations. The US president did not travel to the country on this regional tour but went to the UAE, the kingdom and Qatar where he heard consistent appeals to put a stop to the war.
Within weeks after that Israeli strike on Doha, the president sat nearby as the prime minister himself called the Qatari leadership to apologise. And later that day, the prime minister gave approval on the president's comprehensive proposal for Gaza - one that additionally had the backing of key Muslim nations in the region.
Assuming Trump's alliance with Netanyahu provided him the room to pressure Israel to reach an agreement, his history with Arab rulers may have ensured their support, and assisted them convince the group to agree to the deal.
"A key factor that evidently occurred was that the US leader gained leverage with the Israelis, and indirectly with Hamas," notes Jon Alterman of the a research center.
"That made a difference. His ability to achieve this on his timing, and avoid yielding to the demands of the warring sides has been a challenge that lot of previous presidents have struggled with, and Trump appears to handle with some success."
The reality that the president is far better liked in Israel than Netanyahu personally was an advantage that he used to his advantage, he adds.
Currently Israel has agreed to releasing more than 1,000 Palestinians held in its jails and has agreed to a partial withdrawal from Gaza.
Hamas will free all the remaining hostages, living and dead, captured in the original 7 October assault, which caused the death of more than 1,200 Israelis.
A conclusion to the war, which has resulted in the destruction of the territory and the deaths of over 67,000 {Palestinians|Pal